Bloomberg Cites Allium on Possible Polymarket Settlement Manipulation
Bloomberg cited Allium's head of research on a working paper finding that traders may be manipulating Polymarket's five-minute Bitcoin settlement markets.
Bloomberg cited Allium in Polymarket Traders May Be Manipulating Crypto Bets, Study Says, by Cameron Fozi, published July 15, 2026.
What the article covers
Bloomberg reported on a Stanford and Singapore Management University working paper, Settlement Manipulation in Prediction Markets, which finds that traders may be manipulating Polymarket's five-minute Bitcoin settlement markets by pushing the underlying price on centralized exchanges near the moment a market resolves.
How Allium was cited
Bloomberg turned to Allium's head of research, Elton Shehdula, to assess whether the on-chain pattern held up. His on-the-record read, quoted in the article: "The pattern looks real to me. The harder question is whether the traders pushing the price on Binance and the Polymarket wallets collecting the winnings are connected."
A major financial outlet drawing on Allium's research team to interpret an on-chain manipulation pattern is a signal that our data and analysis are becoming a reference point for how prediction markets get scrutinized.
Citation: Cameron Fozi (2026). Polymarket Traders May Be Manipulating Crypto Bets, Study Says. Bloomberg.
Read it on Bloomberg: bloomberg.com
Freely readable syndication: finance.yahoo.com
